Using stochastic modelling for long-term network planning of LV distribution grids at Dutch DNO

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CIRED 2019 - 1026.pdf (562.88 KB)

Paper number

1026

Working Group Number

Conference name

CIRED 2019

Conference date

3-6 June 2019

Conference location

Madrid, Spain

Peer-reviewed

Yes

Short title

Convener

Authors

Vergnes, Hugo, Stedin, Netherlands
Nijhuis, Michiel, Phase to Phase, Netherlands
Coster, Edward, Stedin, Netherlands

Abstract

Long-term network planning becomes of upmost importance because large amounts of extra appliances are foreseen in the LV-grids in the near future. These appliances appear to have a load pattern with weak correlation to the traditional household load pattern. The two main assumptions of the current load model, the peak load is normally distributed, and the yearly energy usage and the peak load are highly correlated, are already losing their applicability. Stochastic load modelling seems a suitable alternative which does not rely on these assumptions.Smart meter data, if available, can easily be used to generate stochastic load profiles and also to determine probability density functions for individual consumers. Scenarios for new technologies, with different load patterns, can be added to existing grids for long-term network planning purposes.To be able to successfully implement stochastic load modelling at a DNO requires additional data and skills.

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Publisher

AIM

Date

2019-06-03

Published in

CIRED 2019 Conference

Permanent link to this record

https://cired-repository.org/handle/20.500.12455/248
http://dx.doi.org/10.34890/478

ISSN

2032-9644

ISBN

978-2-9602415-0-1